Portland Timbers: Huge Whistle Advantage

Are the Portland Timbers enjoying a massing advantage, homefield advantage, both or neither?


(Yes, we do need to get the home counts at Jen-Weld. Don’t have ’em yet.)

12 responses to this post.

  1. Posted by Johninho on 2011/07/28 at 11:59 AM

    Oh, please. You can’t just count the whistles without taking into account time, severity and situation.


    • Posted by matthewsf on 2011/07/28 at 5:25 PM

      You most certainly can. Enough observations to be statistically significant.

      Timbers fan?


      • Posted by Johninho on 2011/07/28 at 5:30 PM

        It’s not a quantitative measurement. If you believe so, hash foul differential to result.

        And yeah, Timbers fan. But unless account time, severity, and situation don’t matter at all, then yeah, you most certainly can.


  2. Posted by dth on 2011/07/28 at 12:10 PM

    It basically looks to me–eyeballing the data–that there’s very little correlation between foul differential and points.


    • Posted by matthewsf on 2011/07/28 at 5:27 PM

      Not necessarily, Timbers number is a huge outlier. You’d expect teams with winning records to have a slightly better number (which occurs). That the Timbers (a non-winning team) have such a large–positive–differential is pretty big for them.


  3. Posted by jonk on 2011/07/28 at 12:24 PM

    I’m baffled by how you’ve ordered this list. Is there any particular order to it?

    It is interesting that Portland and LA are so far in the positive direction.


    • Posted by Harry Balls on 2011/07/28 at 1:13 PM

      It is in alphabetical order. Duh!


    • Posted by matthewsf on 2011/07/28 at 5:25 PM

      Copied it straight from the MLS table.


      • Posted by jonk on 2011/07/29 at 3:19 PM

        Riiiiight. I forgot that RBNY was atop the table…er, I mean atop the Eastern Conference…uhh, I mean atop the scoring chart. Ah, it’s based on goals scored. The perfect way to lazily compare teams when asking a question about fouls.


  4. […] The Shin Guardian lets us know the Timbers are the referees favorites. Maybe its because we finally stopped riduculing the officials the second the step on the field. I never understand why we give the refs shit pre-match (of course some deserve it for their past transgressions). […]


  5. […] the way, in case you missed in yesterday’s news, the Portland Timbers treated like dignitaries by the refs this […]


  6. Sports Illustrated had a great article on home field advantage earlier this year. It has nothing to do with the crowd distracting players (shooting free throws or PKs, etc.) or home players getting extra fired up (turns out a lively crowd has just as much affect on the opposing players).

    It all essentially boils down to one thing: the crowds’ psychological affect on the referees. A loud and excited crowd can influence their perception of events during the run of play. Go here: http://www.amazon.com/Scorecasting-Hidden-Influences-Behind-Sports/dp/0307591794/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1295267562&sr=1-1


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